In a group of 400 people, 160 are smokers and

Question:

In a group of 400 people, 160 are smokers and non-vegetarian; 100 are smokers and vegetarian and the remaining 140 are non-smokers and vegetarian. Their chances of getting a particular chest disorder are $35 \%, 20 \%$ and $10 \%$ respectively. A person is chosen from the group at random and is found to be suffering from the chest disorder. The probability that the selected person is a smoker and non-vegetarian is:

  1. (1) $\frac{7}{45}$

  2. (2) $\frac{8}{45}$

  3. (3) $\frac{14}{45}$

  4. (4) $\frac{28}{45}$


Correct Option: , 4

Solution:

Based on Baye's theorem

Probability $=\frac{\left(160 \times \frac{35}{100}\right)}{\left(160 \times \frac{25}{100}\right)+\left(100 \times \frac{20}{100}\right)+\left(140 \times \frac{10}{100}\right)}$

$=\frac{5600}{9000}$

$=\frac{28}{45}$

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